Adoption Forecast: January

Referrals came out a little early this month. Since Chinese New Year falls around a referral period, we will most likely have 2 sets of referrals that will be at odd times and then we will have a LONG wait in between referral batches. So, even though we are still in December, technically this is considered the January batch. Referrals this time have gone through February 28, 2006, finishing out the month of February.

I haven't posted about this yet but I have known for a while that March, 2006 is a monster month. There are a LOT more adoptive parents logged in during the month of March than in any month in the recent past. This means that it will most likely take A LOT longer to get through March than it has the other recent months. There is speculation that it could take a full year or longer (the entire year of 2009) to finish out March, 2006. I hope and pray that this speculation is wrong but only time will tell.

Now on to our stats:

• According to http://www.chinaadoptionforecast.com/, there are now 106 days of LIDs before ours (June 14, 2006).
• There were 364 days of LIDs ahead of us on the day that we were logged in (6/14/06). That month 13 days of LIDs were referred. This month (a pretty typical one), there were 5 days referred. The average number of referral days per month now is 6.1 LIDs per month.
• Our estimated referral date is now July 9, 2010. You can see how this compares to last month here --> http://nicolesdoodlings.blogspot.com/2008/12/adoption-forecast-december.html . We have actually gotten about 8 days closer but I'm not sure if this might be because of the kooky timing of referrals or not.
• 106 days of LIDs ahead of us/average of 6.1 LIDs referred each month = 17.4 months of waiting.

I have removed five little pebbles from our WAIT JAR so that only 106 remain...does it look like the stash is getting any smaller?